One of the distinguishing characteristics of functionality of the planetary economic system in a few decennaries is an intensive development of the international economic dealingss. There is an enlargement and deepening of economic dealingss between states, groups of states, economic groupings, single houses and organisations. These procedures are manifested in intensifying the international division of labour, the internationalisation of economic life, increasing openness of national economic systems, complementing each other, meeting, developing and beef uping of regional and international constructions. Formation of an unfastened economic system – it is an nonsubjective tendency of the universe development.
Foreign direct investing ( FDI ) is a important factor, as it enhances economic growing for a state. FDI has several positive effects: domestic companies may profit from the being of foreign houses through engineering imitation ( Wang and Blomstrom, 1992 ) or transportation of cognition and accomplishments through labour mobility ( Fosfuri et al. , 2001 ) . Attracting foreign investing contributes to an addition in end product of certain merchandises, which become competitory in foreign markets ; to the enlargement of exports and more. Cooperation with foreign spouses has a positive consequence in footings of the development of foreign experience in market and preparation. MNCs may besides profit host states by set uping linkages with domestic providers and clients of intermediate inputs produced by multinationals corporations ( Rodriguez-Clare, 1996 ) .Experiences of many states such as the Southeast Asiatic “ firedrakes ” and “ Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelams ” -Indonesia, Malaysia, Taiwan, South Korea, the Philippines, etc. – and the economic giants like Japan, China and India, show the importance of foreign investing for development and modernisation of the economic system. Every twelvemonth, assorted groups of international experts are carry oning researches on the investing clime in Commonwealth states, researching the kineticss of foreign investing in the part. The consequences of the analysis are published by international prima organisations ( IMF, World Bank, EBRD and UNCTAD ) and serve as a database for investors and determination – shapers to put in the above mentioned provinces.
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The importance of FDI is non merely in guaranting that there is fiscal capableness in taking over new mills and equipment, but besides to supply a technological transportation and managerial accomplishments from a comparatively more advanced economic system. The MNCs presence may besides positively act upon the local economic system through preparation, imitation and competition. However, there may happen a negative consequence from FDI, where domestic endeavors are forced to neutralize, since they are non able to acquire fiscal support to upgrade their engineering. However, it is besides possible that spillovers to the remainder of the economic system may non happen at all if there are institutional obstructions or lacks in the absorbent capacity of domestic endeavors ( Borensztein et. al. , 1998 ) .
The literature on FDI finds that positive consequence on the state ‘s economic development of inward FDI can be obtained through imitation of new engineering and spillover efficiency. This positive influence to the full depends on the absorbent capacity of the host economic system. Several researches that debate on the significance of absorbent capacity and success of FDI focal point chiefly on human capital and trade government ( Balasubramanyam et al.,1996 ; Borensztein et al.,1998 ; Xu,2000 ) .However, several recent surveies indicate the function of fiscal sector development as a nexus between FDI and economic growing. These surveies report that the impact of foreign capital influxs on economic growing depends on the degree of fiscal development in the receiver ‘s economic system ( Hermes and Lensink, 2003 ; Alfaro et al. , 2004 ) and suggest that states with better-developed fiscal sector tend to profit more from FDI.
The Former Soviet Republics ( Commonwealth of Independent States )
The Commonwealth of Independent States ( CIS ) was established in December 1991 after the prostration of USSR. Participating states of CIS are former Soviet Democracies such as Republic of Belarus, the Russian Federation, Ukraine, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Georgia. A Three former Soviet Republics, the Baltic provinces of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, which are now the EU members, decided non to fall in. Entire country of CIS is 22,100,843A km2. Harmonizing to an appraisal in 2008, – the population of CIS is 276,917,629 people. Nominal GDP in 2007A was $ 1,691.861 billion and GDP per capita was near to $ 6,110.
Despite CIS members holding a common historical and institutional background ( at least in most of twentieth century ) , their development schemes, political system and economic policies after obtaining independency have become wholly different from each other. In 1994, the Free Trade Area ( FTA ) understanding has been approved by CIS states, but it was ne’er signed. The new understanding was succeeded in 2009 to set up a FTA by early 2011. The Republic of Belarus, Russian Federation, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan signed a pact and formed the Eurasiatic Economic Community ( EurAsEC or EAEC ) in May 2001, which originated from imposts brotherhood between these states. In October 2005, Uzbekistan has besides decided to fall in. The chief map of EurAsEC is to set up a common energy market and to research a more efficient usage of H2O in Central Asia. Besides, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan created the Central Asian Commonwealth ( CAC ) in 1991, which was renamed as Central Asian Economic Cooperation ( CAEC ) in 1998. Russia entered in May 2004. This organisation is presently merged with Eurasiatic Economic Community.
The first uncertainty refering the utility of CIS was debated by Igor Ivanov in 2007, a secretary of the Russian Security Council. He mentioned that the Eurasiatic Economic Community was going a more efficient organisation to unite the largest states of CIS. Six states such as Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine entered the Eastern Partnership, a undertaking which was started by the European Union ( EU ) .
Economic development of Former Soviet Republics
The economic system of the Soviet Union was based on a system of province ownership by the agencies of production, corporate agriculture, industrial fabrication and centralized administrative planning. The economic construction was distinguished by the province ‘s control of investing, public ownership of industrial assets, and throughout the last 20 old ages of its subsistence, distributing corruptness and socioeconomic stagnancy ( Gregory and Stuart, 2001 ) . The disintegration of Soviet Union on December 25, 1991 resulted in it being combined into the same authorities and economic society, and so spliting into single authoritiess and economic systems. At the initial phase, political independency of Former Soviet democracies was accompanied by the prostration of a individual economic infinite. There were effects of the construction set up in the industry under communism and the quandaries that came with reconstituting a market economic system that no thirster has to follow such authorizations from a societal contriver. The motion to a market economic system, denationalization of province – owned houses and fast development of private sectors brought a batch of chances for foreign investors. Raised administrative boundary lines at the same clip were an obstruction for free flows of goods, services, capital and labour. To get the better of these obstructions, the CIS states, taking into consideration their readiness, complex set of economic and political factors, have created a figure of assorted sub-regional associations, such as Union of Belarus and Russia, Eurasiatic Economic Community, Central Asian Economic Community, including Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan ; an informal brotherhood of four states ( Azerbaijan, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine ( GUAM ) ) . The four provinces ( Belarus, Kazakhstan, Russia and Ukraine ) are traveling to make a individual economic infinite. The engagement of Belarus, Kazakhstan and Russia in Eurasiatic Economic Community and the EEA brings these associations closer to each other ( Tiusanen and Kinnunen, 2005 ; Kokushkina and Misakyan, 2006 )
USSR had a centrally planned economic system. It established heavy industrial sectors without adequate visible radiation industry and overpaid agribusiness. When compared to constructions like China ‘s economic system before twelvemonth 1978 when “ China started to travel more towards a market economic system, the Soviet Union left a much more hard job for restructuring ” ( Sachs and Woo, 1994 ) . USSR citizens had entitled to more advantages, but well attached them to their on the job topographic points. By changing the market, more people would be reversed of their topographic point of employment ; certain companies would be dislodged out of concern or put their employees off. The fright of losing these benefits has likely been an of import factor of the involuntariness of the people to travel to a free market economic system. In 1991, all states of FSU have started economic reforms, by and large characterized by: liberalisation of monetary values and foreign trade, the desire for convertibility of national currencies, denationalization of province belongingss and in peculiar: to get the better of external dependence on natural stuffs, nutrient, military and other Fieldss. However, monetary value liberalisation has led to many inefficiencies of cooperation, liberalisation of foreign economic activity has identified the deficiency of fight of most industries. Denationalization of belongings gives rise to miss of control and irresponsibleness in the economic domain. However, the illustrations of other states that shifted to the unfastened market economic system have shown that they benefit from market economic systems, specialisation and net income maximizing efficiency on macro and micro facets. Experiences of other states has led authoritiess to larn from policies of other authoritiess and single houses can derive from Foreign Direct Investment ( FDI ) ( Gorodnichenkoet.al. , 2007 ) .
Commonwealth of independent states states have great economic and natural potency which give this part a important competitory advantage.A These states cover 16.3 % of universe district, 5 % of universe population, 25 % of universe natural resources, 10 % of industrial production, 12 % of scientific and technological capacity and 10 % of universe resource bring forthing goods.A Oil and natural gas, coal, lumber, nonferrous and rare metals, potassium hydroxide and other minerals every bit good as fresh H2O and forest piece of lands suited for agribusiness and building are most demanded in universe markets. The explored oil pools in Russia history for 13 % of the universe, Azerbaijan has more than 10 and in Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan – approximately 10 % .A Russia has approximately 35 % of universe natural gas militias, Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan – about 20 % .A Sing to the overall production of black and brown coal, Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan ranked 2nd in the world.A The chief militias of diamonds, bauxite, Cu ore, Ni, Co and Sn ores are located in Russia.A As good as big sum of Fe ore, bauxite and Cu ores are located in Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Georgia.A Russia and Belarus have the universe ‘s largest wood piece of lands ( 1/4 the universe ‘s forest )[ 1 ].
The economic and societal conditions of CIS affect significantly the ability to incorporate the unequal distribution of economic potency, deficiency of fuel and energy resources and nutrient, military struggles among some states of CIS, every bit good as contradictions between national policy aims and involvements of IMF and World Bank. Figure 1 represents the one-year GDP per capita growing rate of FSU states.
Economic growing occurred last twelvemonth in CIS states but they are still unable to get the better of the bing distortion of the reproduction procedure in the states. Over the past decennary, it was successful merely in weakening some negative effects at a macroeconomic degree. Average in FSU states during the period of 1993 – 2000 GDP fell by 34 % , industrial end product – by 40 % , the merchandises of agribusiness – by 28 % and investings in fixed assets – by 67 % . Almost all Commonwealth states have non yet reached pre – reform degree of cardinal economic indexs. Therefore, Russia ‘s GDP in twelvemonth 2000amounted to 68 % of the sum in 1991, Belarus – 90 % , Kazakhstan – 78 % , Kyrgyzstan – 72 % , Ukraine – 47 % , Moldova – 60 % and Azerbaijan – 60 % . In twelvemonth 2000, mean GDP of CIS was tantamount to 66 % of the degree of GDP in 1991. All states had budget shortage, and get downing from 1998, CIS states were concerned with external debt payments. The foreign capital influxs were deficient ; industries remained at a low technological degree and were non able to get down bring forthing competitory merchandises. Merely during the recent old ages, the GDP growing rate has been stabilized.
Figure1.GDP per capita growing rate of FSU states, one-year % .
Beginning: World Development Indicators database web site.
1.4 Foreign Direct Investment flows into Former Soviet Union Republics
Foreign Direct Investment ( FDI ) refers to investing made to get permanent involvement in an endeavor operating outside the economic system of the investor ( Kornecki, 2008 ) .The chief mark of the investor is to derive an efficient right in the direction of the company. Spar ( 2009 ) specifies foreign direct investing as a entire flow of capital and engineering across international boundary lines or a transportation of resources from one location to another. The International Monetary Fund ( 2009 ) defines FDI as the acquisition of at least 10 per centum of the ordinary portions or voting power in a public or private endeavor by nonresident investors.
Foreign investing is a comparatively new subdivision of economic system of CIS. Harmonizing to the administrative, bid system existed in Soviet Union. There was a province monopoly of foreign trade activities and the investing sector was closed for foreign capital. These activities were limited to a certain sum of export – import contacts, operated by specialised trade – the authorities organisations. At international fiscal markets, USSR acted as a heavy borrower of foreign currency loans, but for concerns, USSR was closed to international fiscal markets every bit good as set uping joint activity with foreign investors to construct any workss. There were merely a few investing plans that were implemented in Soviet Union before 90s, such as joint mill of Italian “ Fiat ” and Volga automotive works, constructing the mill for the production of celebrated drinks such as “ Pepsi – Cola ” and several other major investing plans.
During the last 20 old ages, the importance of states with passage economic systems as investing finishs where Multinational Corporations have taken huge market and production chances has raised significantly. “ Among the passage economic systems, the part of the Commonwealth of Independent States ( CIS ) – Former Soviet Union republics – experient roar in foreign direct investing in recent old ages ” ( Kudina and Jakubiak, 2008, pp.3 ) . FDI is believed to hold positive effects such as productiveness additions, engineering transportations, exposure to new procedures, managerial accomplishments, employee preparation, international production webs and entree to markets ( Borensztein et al. , 1998 ) . Governments evidently expect that MNC can be an appropriate beginning to contend against unemployment, to increase the gross of revenue enhancements, exports, transportation of engineering and cognition, occupation creative activity and higher rewards. Many states ‘ authoritiess have lowered the limitations for foreign capital entry and supply assorted investing exciting plans merely to actuate foreign investors to put in their states. It can be financial inducements such as revenue enhancement vacations and low revenue enhancements for foreign investors, or fiscal inducements such as grants and discriminatory loans to MNCs ( UNCTAD,1996 ) , every bit good as steps like market penchants, substructure, and sometimes even monopoly rights ( Brewer and Young,1997 ) .
Macroeconomic surveies have shown that FDI is good for growing in an economic system with fiscal markets that can pull off the flows, but it is argued that these analyses are non careful plenty in their computations for things like simultaneousness and country-specific effects ( Carkovic and Levine, 2002 ; Azman-Saini et.al,2010 ) . The restructuring of the economic system to where the populace is now responsible for happening their niche in the market place, gives rise to growing to its natural market potency. Convergence will convey less developed states up to rush with the other markets. If states with slower Gross Domestic Product ( GDP ) do catch up, so we should see that CIS is turning rapidly ( De la Fuente, 1997 ) .
FDI ‘s coming to the Former Soviet Union democracy has promoted a major growing for the productiveness of local industries and services through modern engineerings spillover and managerial accomplishments ( Kudina and Jakubiak, 2008 ) . This led to heighten productiveness sequence and stabilisation of the macroeconomic state of affairs and therefore, societal public assistance, which provides a favourable environment to speed up the gait of fiscal sector reforms. On the other manus, farther economic growing will progressively depend on the degree of fiscal intermediation and attractive force of new investing. Thus, for CIS states, the challenge to better the dependability of the fiscal sector and acceleration of its reforms are going progressively of import. Table 1 ( a ) and ( B ) provide statistics for mean FDI influxs and GDP per capita figures for Former Soviet Union states over the period of 2000 – 2005 and 2005 – 2010 severally.
Table 1. FDI influxs ( 1000000s US $ ) and GDP per capita ( US $ )
Average of Year 2000 – 2005
GDP per capita, 2000-2005
Empire state of the south
Average of Year 2005-2010
GDP per capita, 2005-2010
Empire state of the south
Beginning: World Development indexs database web site.
The tabular array shows that FDI inflows in Kazakhstan and the Russian Federation have increased well on norm from 2.5 to 9.6 billion USD and 7.5 to 42 billion severally. The less attractive states for foreign investors are Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. The approximative ground for this might be the fact that most FDI inflows to Former Soviet Union states are concentrated in oil and gas extracting states. Another ground can be a weak macroeconomic stableness and the investing clime of these economic systems. Significant addition of significance of FDI as a portion of GDP is observed in Estonia and Georgia. Figure 2 illustrates FDI as a per centum of GDP values.
Figure 2.Average of FDI influxs as a portion of GDP.
Beginning: World Development Indicators database web site.
This may be true and most passage states benefited from FDI as capital and engineering were transferred during the first decennary and a half after their passage. However, the “ effects of FDI on structural alteration depend basically on the initial conditions of the receiver or the host state ” ( Ellingstad, 1997 ) . “ FDI flows towards less developed states have non ever resulted in the long-run growing outcomes that one would anticipate ” ( Lipsey, 2002 ) . Some states may stop up marked by double economic system construction characterized by a strong dependance on foreign capital but weak autochthonal attempts. This is particularly the instance where authoritiess have merely expected FDI to make most of the occupation of acquiring their states on the route to prosperity. However, many developing and passage states face the cardinal job that they have few options to the outside injections of finance, accomplishments and web resources that FDI provides.
In the literature, the factors in pulling FDI are explained by three motives for FDI:
Market – seeking – with the purpose of set uping concern that serves a local market because of its size or to get the better of the trade barriers ( Horizontal FDI )
Resource – seeking – it is when investors are triggered by the handiness of natural resources in the host state ( Vertical FDI )
Efficiency – seeking – in order to accomplish efficiency additions, investors take advantage of local assets such as less expensive and skilled workers, cheaper assets and substructure ( Dunning, 1993 ) . Harmonizing to the factors indicated above, more FDI can be attracted into the economic system if it has favourable conditions such as low-labor cost, big domestic market, profusion in natural resources and close propinquity to western developed states.
After the prostration of USSR, the entire investing in FSU states declined dramatically. However, a comparatively high growing rates and macroeconomic stableness has been achieved and net FDI influxs per capita has remained low in FSU states in comparing to Central and Eastern Europe. However, Baltic states received comparatively more attending from foreign investors ( Claessens et.al. , 1998 ) . By and large, in energy exporting states such as Russia, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan, FDI influx has been concentrated on the energy sector. Development of FDI in those states depends on the investing clime such as corporate administration, regulation of low, transparence and etc. Major FDI inflows to Moldova, Georgia and Armenia go to oil grapevine building undertakings or energy sector denationalization. In Ukraine, FDI influx has been more assorted due to industrial constructions. In Tajikistan and Kyrgyz Republic, FDI has been restricted largely to one big gold mine undertaking in each state with limited inward FDI flows elsewhere in the economic system ( Shiells, 2003 ) . In Uzbekistan and Belarus, FDI influxs have been highly limited, except invested capital in the building of the Yamal grapevine in Belarus. Net FDI influx in Uzbekistan accounted for less than 1 per centum of GDP in 2005.
Harmonizing to the old researches ( Lankes and Venables, 1996 ) , the ground for foreign capital influxs to FSU states has been chiefly for “ resource seeking ” , nevertheless FDI inflow to more advanced states with passage economic system has been more frequently for “ efficiency seeking ” . For case, concentrating on merchandise exports based on low labour cost. FSU states with big domestic market such as Russia, Kazakhstan and Ukraine may be possible for market seeking FDI which is oriented to bring forth and sell within the domestic market. However, the consequence of FDI may change among economic systems harmonizing to a figure of back uping factors ( Shiells, 2003 ) . The size of spillover impacts is besides influenced by domestic political system, economic policies, threshold degree of human capital, managerial accomplishments and others.
1.5 Problem statement
The passage of Former Soviet Union states at the period of 80 ‘s – 90 ‘s has begun from communist provinces to market economic systems. One of the most of import facets of passage to those states was liberalisation of markets, opening the markets for foreign goods and services through trade and direct investings. FDI has played of import function covering the spread between high degrees of investing and domestic nest eggs required to back up economic growing in those states with passage economic system. Besides, FDI has been supplying external funding in equity signifier instead than debt, largely in export and import sectors which supported the betterment of external place. The move towards economic liberalisation complied with low cost of labour may hold contributed to growing in FDI in FSU states ( Shiells, 2003 ) .
Since the outgrowth of new theories of economic growing, many economic experts have been interested in look intoing the relationship between FDI and economic growing ( Lyroudi et.al. , 2004 ; Carkovic and Levine, 2002 ; Campos and Kinoshita, 2002 ) . The consequences have contributed to following policy deductions. Should the FDI positively affect the economic growing of a state, so a recipient state should promote FDI flows by suggesting revenue enhancement inducements, substructure subsidies, import responsibility releases and other steps to pull investors. If the consequence of FDI is negative, so a recipient state should take precautional steps to deter and restrict such capital influxs ( Lyroudiet.al. , 2004 ) . Most research workers analyzing the effects of FDI on economic growing have focused on the U.S. and on Western European economic systems. Less understood, nevertheless, is the impact of FDI influxs on exports in Former Soviet Union democracies and how the response of economic growing to FDI differs with the degree of development of the fiscal sector in this part. This thesis aims to complement the bing literature by widening the grounds utilizing FSU+12 states.
The aim here is to understand how FDI relates to exports in Former Soviet Republics. Since the center of twentieth century, FDI is known as an of import facet in fiscal globalisation, volume of international trade and mobility of capital and goods across the boundary lines ( Alguacil and Orts, 2001 ) . FDI and trade physique and increase the complexness of economic mutuality between distinguishable states. For policy shapers, it is important to hold a good apprehension of the effects associated with FDI and trade and the interaction between them. Existing literature is non conclusive about the relationship of replaceability or complementarity between FDI and trade. Harmonizing to the trade theoretical accounts and probes demonstrated in literature, the consequence of FDI can change depending on the type of informations set used in empirical analysis, type of investing and state specific fortunes ( Fontagne and Pajot, 1999 ) . Much of the empirical literature focuses on placing the factors behind the rise and enlargement of MNCs ( Helpman and Krugman, 1985 ; Markusen, 2002 ) every bit good as happening complementary consequence of FDI and betterment of export public presentation in host economic systems ( Kutan and Vuksic, 2007 ) . The part of this thesis is to bespeak whether FDI and peculiarly exports are positively or negatively correlated in FSU+12 states with passage economic systems over the period of 1993 – 2010. To our cognition, up to the present, really few empirical surveies have been conducted for states with passage utilizing the aggregative macroeconomic degree informations to look into the consequence of FDI on exports, particularly for Former Soviet Union states. Econometric findings of this research can be associated with the prevailing institutional frame, and therefore motivate academic and policy treatments.
Another facet of the survey is probe of FDI – growing relationship and impact of degree of development of fiscal system for Former Soviet Union states with passage economic systems over the period of 1997 – 2010, since fiscal development has facilitated important economic growing in a figure of developing economic systems. In add-on, it has been suggested that states which are comparatively more financially developed are better able to profit from FDI ( Hermes and Lensink, 2003 ) .The impact of fiscal development on economic growing might happen through capital accretion ( Liang and Teng, 2006 ) . The fiscal development can advance efficient al location of capital by easing the exchange of goods and services, supervising the direction, placing high expected return undertakings, and easing hazard direction. The efficient allotment of resources could besides spur the betterment of productiveness and leads to economic growing. The capital accretion channel is besides known as the quantitative channel and is instead consecutive frontward. Economic growing depends on capital accretion through both domestic and foreign capital investing. To mobilise nest eggs and impart them to capital accretion, an efficient fiscal system is indispensable. Hence, FDI, fiscal development and economic growing are linked. The productiveness channel which is known as qualitative channel offers efficient fiscal system facilitates the acceptance of new engineering to heighten the economic development based on the intensive usage of engineering and cognition. Technological invention contributes to human capital formation which can further hike the degree of economic growing. Hence, fiscal development can ease economic growing through direct every bit good as indirect channels. The grounds that domestic fiscal intermediation may act upon the consequence of FDI on economic growing of the state is good documented in the literature.
The deficiency of empirical grounds on the effects of fiscal sector development to the response of economic growing to FDI in FSU are partially due to the fact that current literature on FDI has concentrated on short-run consideration, such as determiners of FDI, investing clime and effects of such influxs. To accomplish more a better apprehension of the possible deductions of FDI in Former Soviet Union democracies, research should besides turn to the long – term effects of development of fiscal sector. No bing survey has investigated whether the degree of domestic fiscal sector development plays an of import function in associating FDI and economic growing in these states in the context of an econometric model that controls the determiners of economic growing. The focal point of this research is to prove whether there is grounds that factor of fiscal development is a nexus between FDI and economic growing.
1.6 Aims of the survey
The first aim is to look into the nature of relationship between FDI and export. Specifically, the purpose is to prove whether they are replacements or complements.
The 2nd aim of this thesis is to look into through empirical observation if fiscal sector development degree has any consequence in interceding the positive consequence of FDI on growing.
1.7 Scope of the survey
The FSU part has seen a pronounced addition in FDI influxs in recent old ages. The figure of theoretical and empirical probes has pointed out several channels through which FDI may positively or negatively affect economic growing. Existing literature on FDI has concentrated on short-run consideration, such as determiners of FDI, investing clime and effects of such influxs. Most of the cross – sectional empirical surveies are non part specific ( Alfaro et al. , 2004 ; Hermes and Lensink, 2003 ) . The part of this thesis is to bespeak whether FDI and exports are positively or negatively correlated in FSU+12 states with passage economic systems. Furthermore, there are no surveies that examined the function of fiscal sector development in heightening the parts of FDI on economic growing in Former Soviet Union democracy. This survey hopes to make full this spread in the literature. The econometric findings of this research can be associated with the prevailing institutional frame, and therefore motivate academic and policy treatments. Range findings can hold of import deductions in exciting the economic growing in this part.
This chapter of the survey reviews the bing literature on FDI, economic development, fiscal development and trade, every bit good as empirical grounds of the probes on the impact on economic growing.
Definition of FDI
International Monetary Fund ( IMF ) defines foreign direct investing ( FDI ) “ as a class of international investing where a occupant in one economic system ( the direct investor ) obtains a permanent involvement in an endeavor occupant in another economic system ( the direct investing endeavor ) ” ( IMF, 1993 ) .
Two parts of this definition are of import to observe:
1 ) The “ permanent involvement ” implies the being of a long-run relationship between the direct investor and the direct investing endeavor ;
2 ) The “ direct investing ” implies acquisition of at least 10 per cent of the ordinary portions or voting power of an endeavor abroad.
Harmonizing to William Forsyth Sharpe, a celebrated American economic expert, who won Nobel Prize in 1990, the definition of the term “ investing ” refers to a belongings or an rational value, which is invested in concern activities in order to accomplish net income or good consequence.
Theories of FDI
Analysis of foreign investing gets outstanding attendings from international economic experts, who are invariably seeking to work out a figure of cardinal issues. There are a figure of different theoretical theoretical accounts discoursing FDI. Many factors can be analysed through empirical observation in order to larn about the determiners of FDI.
Development of the FDI theory starts from Production Cycle Theory, as developed by a Gallic scientist ; Vernon, in 1966. This theory describes the dynamic interaction between international trade and foreign investing. Vernon observed the growing of trade and investing among American corporations during the post-war Reconstruction in Europe. The uniqueness of the construct is to unite elements of international economic sciences ( trade between states and the grounds for traveling capitals ) with the theory of selling ( merchandise life rhythm curve ) . The theory of natural merchandise life rhythm and the possibility of minimising costs suggest that transnational corporations have three types of solutions: to bring forth goods at place, to export or to travel its production to foreign markets. Theory based on four phases of production rhythm: invention, growing, adulthood and diminution. A company can utilize impermanent monopoly on domestic market while presenting new merchandises that allows them to cover partial cost of puting in R & A ; D and selling. When the merchandises enter the second of 3rd stage of its life rhythm, in order to vie with their rivals, houses are forced to follow a scheme of internalisation. When a merchandise loses its market freshness and making the stage of adulthood, companies normally look for chances to export. At this phase, the competition becomes stiffer, which leads to higher costs per unit of production and reduces net incomes. Finally, at the worsening stage, houses should happen the most advantageous location for production in other states, particularly big 1s. At this phase, companies invest abroad in an effort to salvage their leading and chance of subsequently re – exporting the same merchandises to the place market, where it foremost developed. The theory gave clear account on determinations made by American corporations to travel production abroad. Since so, the international state of affairs has changed significantly ( Vernon, 1966 ) . Presently, transnational corporations and their rivals have their subdivisions overseas and competition has spread from domestic markets worldwide. When there is a coup d’etat of new markets transnational corporations form strategic confederations and absorb foreign companies. It is necessary in order to supply entree to new markets and engineerings, and to keep and beef up leading. The function of the authorities besides strongly influences the determination of investors, for case: stimulating FDI scheme of the UK in late 80-s which was aimed to pull Nipponese investors.
FDI was attempted to explicate by Neoclassical Trade Theory and the Heckscher – Ohlin theoretical accounts, in which transportations of the capital from one state to another occur in order to maximise expected returns. The neo – classical attack postulates that due to the deficiency of and relatively high cost of labour in rich states, they tend to travel production installations to poorer, labour – intensive states. These capital transportations from capital-intensive states to capital – hapless states take topographic point in order for houses to increase overall benefits. Ricardian theory of comparative advantage is based on two states ‘ theoretical account, two merchandises and a perfect mobility of factors at a local degree. Premises of this theory are free trade, perfect competition, no uncertainness, complimentary information and no authorities intervention, and this theory can non be used to explicate the being of FDI. Thus, Neo – classical trade theory was inefficient ( Leamer and Levinsohn,1995 ) .
The theory of Portfolio Investment, which tried to explicate FDI, indicates the motions of capital from one state to another based on higher returns of the capital. There must be minimisation of hazard for these flows to happen. However, in world, it is non true and debut of hazards and barriers to capital transportations have decreased the preciseness of the theory. It could explicate the success of the portfolio, but it failed to explicate direct investings. Celebrated economic expert, Hymer, mentioned of import economic facet that distinguishes FDI from other types of investing. Harmonizing to him, investors bring forthing FDI are motivated non merely to obtain high net incomes, but fundamentally besides to derive control of the concern in recipient state. Therefore, FDI is different from portfolio investing, since it is non lone outlook of dividends and returns of capital. In other words, Hymer indicated that the cardinal component of FDI is market power ( Hymer,1960 ) .
The grounds for the growing of transnational corporations and their determination to fabricate abroad were analysed by Hymer in 1960. His work was based on the statement that foreign investors seek to work market imperfectnesss because industrial investings abroad is associated to higher hazards and costs than puting in production in the state of beginning. It besides requires extra investing to cover proficient and organisational costs: to supervise activities of foreign subordinates and to form selling research and development associated with the lingual and cultural barriers. Therefore, puting company should hold specific or monopolistic advantage. The cardinal demands for MNE to put overseas and to be is to maintain ownership of production, which allows remotion of competition and benefit from advantages like skilled labour, low cost natural stuffs, entree to capital markets or engineering.
Kindlberger ( 1969 ) expanded the construct of Hymer ‘s theory by choosing four cardinal success factors of transnational corporations based on market imperfectnesss: 1 ) imperfectnesss associated with the commercial policy of houses: engineering selling, stigmatization, merchandise distinction ; 2 ) imperfectnesss related to the factors of production: direct control over production, ain engineering, qualified forces, privileged entree to capital markets ; A 3 ) internal and external economic systems of graduated table ; A 4 ) authorities policies and intervention.A Application of the theory of monopolistic competition by transnational corporations has led to an probe of elements such as entree to inputs and to consumers, every bit good as economic systems of graduated table within the model of international production, distribution and supply.A This theory was used to analyze the factors lending to the success of operation of the investment houses at place and abroad markets.A Monopolistic or oligopolistic facets of TNC activities abroad have caused specific reactions from authoritiess, although sometimes these actions did non differ from the policies for domestic enterprises.A
However, for theories on international trade, based on imperfect competition theoretical accounts and sentiment that transnational corporations are companies with market power, they are still non able to grok all complexnesss of FDI and insufficient to understand the signifiers of international investing ( Hosseini, 2005 ) . Mundell ( 1957 ) postulates replaceability of trade and capital flows: taking two-countries, two-factors, two – states framework, he demonstrates that FDI can take to riddance of trade because transportations of capital will take the factor proportions footing for trade. Mundell ‘s theoretical account could non explicate international production through FDI, because foreign investing incorporated was either portfolio investing or short term investing ( Mundell, 1957 ) . Nipponese research workers, Kojima and Ozawa have tried to convey a theoretical account to explicate both international trade and foreign direct investing. Their effort was to develop and better Mundell ‘s theoretical account. Therefore, in developed theoretical account, FDI occurs if a state has comparative disadvantage in bring forthing a merchandise, while international trade is based on comparative advantage ( Kojima and Ozawa, 1984 ) .
The theory of exchange rates on imperfect capital markets is another theory which attempted to explicate FDI. Harmonizing to it, foreign exchange hazard has an influence on FDI flows fluctuations from international trade prospective. The empirical consequences obtained by Itagaki ( 1981 ) and Cushman ( 1985 ) indicate that an addition in existent exchange rate enhances capital flows made by USD, whereas depreciation of USD leads to diminish in USA ‘s FDI. Nevertheless, the theory is inefficient to explicate foreign capital flows between states with different currencies.
The internalisation theory, developed by Buckley and Casson in 1976, followed by Hennart, in 1982, provides an account of the growing of the transnational endeavor and gives penetrations into the motives to pull FDI. Working on this theory in an international context, Hymer in 1976 indicated that remotion of competition and activity possessing advantage as two chief determiners of FDI ( Hymer, 1976 ) . Later, Buckley and Casson, who founded the theory demonstrates that multinational companies arrange their activities in host state in a manner that they gain specific benefits and expand. Buckley and Casson suggested that a steadfast overcomes market imperfectnesss by making its ain market – internalization.
Tormenting and Rugman nevertheless ( 1985 ) argument that Hymer concentrated excessively much on market-power attack and included merely tradable benefits such as economic systems of graduated table and engineerings. Detecting Hymer ‘s work, Yamin ( 2000 ) and Cantwell ( 2000 ) posit that Hymer focused on the investing of house abroad, but non on the manner how they operate expeditiously in invested state. Yamin asserted that oligopolies focuses on actively using and developing assets instead than the use of ownership advantage, since the chief aim of oligopolies is to take struggles, where assets raise competition and inspirit invention. In add-on, Cantwell claims that it is needfully to develop a theory which focuses more on “ a longer – term reorientation of MNCs off from net incomes associated with market power and towards net incomes through invention and to carry through constituents of macro- and microeconomic theories ” ( Cantwell,2000 ) .
Most celebrated in this issue was besides a research done by Tormenting ( 1977 ) , who brought together traditional trade economic sciences, ownership advantages and internalisation theory, and developed the O-L-I model which is called “ The Eclectic Paradigm of Dining ” , where “ O ” – is ownership advantage, “ L ” – is location and “ I ” – is internalisation. OLI paradigm allows us to understand the conditions suited for FDI flows to increase and how this relates to economic conditions of state – investor and peculiar houses, set abouting this investing. Harmonizing to this theory, FDI takes topographic point if these conditions are fulfilled.
Ownership advantage. Some houses have firm specific assets and capital known as cognition capital: human capital, patents, engineerings, hallmark, repute and economic systems of graduated table. This capital can be replicated in different states without losing its value, and is easy transferred within the house without high dealing costs.
Localization advantage. When the first status is fulfilled, it is more good for houses to utilize them more than to lease or sell them to foreign markets. Specific advantages here are quantitative and qualitative factors of production, costs of conveyance, telecommunications, market size, authorities policies and geographical location of the states.
Internalization advantage. Possessing first two conditions by companies, it must be profitable for the company the usage of these advantages, in coaction with at least some factors outside the state of beginning.
Depending on the economic, political and societal conditions of the state, OLI shows that OLI factors are different from company to company.
2.4. FDI and economic growing
Enormous empirical literature has been attempted to analyze whether growing is affected by FDI. The overall grounds is described every bit assorted as the consequences emphasize the importance of labour costs, openness to merchandise, investing clime, degree of development of the state and financial inducements.
Most documents that studied this issue have recognized the positive function of FDI played in the economic development of each ascertained state whereby they managed to pull capital influxs. For case, we can mention to China ‘s experience, which succeeded in a historically short period of clip, due to monolithic investings of foreign investors, to make in many industries high – tech fabrication such as electronics, car industry, aircraft edifices, etc. , conveying merchandises to the universe market and derive some instances taking places. However, there are tonss of illustrations of negative impact of foreign investing on single states.
By and large talking, on a macro – degree, FDI may impact the host economic systems in two ways, straight and indirectly. By organizing joint – venture or set uping new mills, FDI straight affect an economic system by increasing employment, capital influx and utilizing advanced equipment and engineering. On the other manus, FDI could besides bring forth indirect impact on local economic systems through, for illustration, increased competition, and engineering spillover from subordinates of transnational corporations to local autochthonal houses. Surveies on the impact of FDI on economic growing in the passage economic systems are besides equivocal. Related empirical grounds on FDI-growth relationship can be categorized into groups: some literature discusses the motivations of FDI and investing clime of the states, whereas a figure of surveies investigate the impact of FDI on GDP and economic growing.
2.5 Macroeconomic grounds.
Empirical probes of the impact of FDI on economic growing give equivocal grounds. Romer ( 1993 ) argues that having foreign capital does non merely better the productiveness of recipient houses but all companies due to the fact that foreign investing may relieve the transportation of technological and concern know – how from rich to hapless states Thus, the “ thought spread ” between rich and hapless states will be reduced. Harmonizing to his findings, transportations of engineering through FDI may hold strong spillover effects for the full state. However, empirical consequences of Boyd and Smith ( 1992 ) suggest that FDI in presence of preexisting trade, monetary value, fiscal and other perversions will ache resource allotment and decelerate down the growing rate. They emphasize that FDI will advance growing merely under certain policy conditions.
Brewer ( 1994 ) and Meyer ( 1995 ) have analyzed available beginnings of informations on FDI in passage economic systems. Their findings suggest that all states with passage economic systems have their several defects, but by and large may suitably exemplify the existent developments. Dependability of informations on FDI in station – Soviet states is inhibited non merely by the general jobs in specifying and mensurating FDI ( Bellak, 1998 ) , but besides by the traditionally low quality of informations provided by province statistical offices in the Former Soviet Union Republics.
Meyer and Pind ( 1999 ) concluded that states with the most advanced degree of economic passage receive foreign capital influxs more than 3 per centum of GDP, which is above the West European norm. Resource-rich states like Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan, which focused on the development of natural resources receive really big sums of FDI ; less reform – orientated states like Belarus and Uzbekistan have received really small FDI so far. FDI in Russia is likewise diverse as foreign investors respond to resource gift and regional reform policies.
Macroeconomic surveies overall suggest a positive function of FDI in bring forthing economic growing, particularly in peculiar environments. For case, Borenszteinet. Al. ( 1998 ) investigates the consequence of foreign direct investing on economic growing utilizing cross – state arrested development model for 69 developing states over the last two decennaries. The findings highlight that higher effectivity of FDI would ensue from a composing of advanced work force and more modern engineering, every bit good as the consequence of FDI on economic growing is dependent on the threshold of stock of human capital available in the host economic system. Some other reported consequences suggest that technological consequence of FDI can be more efficient if a state ‘s markets are good – operating. This status allows foreign capital to run in an assured competition environment and lower deformations of the market, beef uping transportation of cognition and accomplishments among companies. In contrast, a ulterior research of Blomstromet. Al. ( 1994 ) argues that foreign investing may hold positive impact if a state is sufficiently affluent ; they found no grounds that degree of instruction is important. Borenszteinet.al. ( 1998 ) besides indicated that FDI consequence on GDP of a state is positive merely if a developing state has the initial degree of instruction.
Another survey of Lipsey ( 2002 ) shows that FDI towards less developed states does non ever have a long-run growing consequence because some economic systems may stop up marked by a double economic construction distinguished by a strong dependance on foreign capital but weak autochthonal efforts. This occurs in states where authoritiess have merely expected foreign investing to impact automatically on their state ‘s success. However, transverse state comparing on foreign capital influxs and economic development done by Blomstrom and Wang ( 1992 ) gives similar findings that FDI has important impact on all ascertained states ; developed and developing.
Nunnenkamp and Spatz ( 2004 ) have analyzed foreign direct investing stocks in major sectors and specific fabrication industries in a big figure of developing economic systems arising from the United States. Result posit that FDI does non vouch positive impact on growing automatically. Host – economic system and industry features, every bit good as the interaction between such features influence mostly the growing impact of foreign direct investing in developing economic systems. Contradictory findings have been obtained by Alfaro et.al. ( 2003 ) whereby they investigated FDI – growing relationship within sectors of the economic system. The decision suggests that in the primary sector, the consequence of FDI on economic growing is statistically negative, whereas it has important positive impact on the fabrication sector of the economic system. Along similar lines, Wang ( 2002 ) studied FDI-growth consequence among sectors of the economic system for 12 Asean states utilizing informations from 1987-1997, declared indistinguishable decision as Alfaro ; that merely fabricating sector benefits from FDI positively.
Ozturk ( 2007 ) provides an overview of the bing surveies covering with impact of FDI on economic growing, analyzing the consequences published since 1986. Overall, he highlights that FDI tends to hold important consequence on the economic growing through multiple channels such as capital formation, engineering transportation and spillover, human capital ( cognition and accomplishment ) sweetening and importance of free trade zones, trade government, human capital base in the host state, fiscal market ordinances, banking system, substructure quality, revenue enhancement inducements, market size, regional integrating agreements and economic/political stableness as chief determiners for FDI to hold a positive consequence on economic growing. Probably, findings are hard to reason the hardiness of FDI – growing relationship, because foreign investing is of import in the context. The quantitative step of FDI is deficient to find the impact on a state ‘s economic system. “ It may lend to a macroeconomic growing in some state of affairss but non in others ( Alfaro et.al. , 2004 ; Borensztein et.al. , 1998 ) . The concluding economic rating can be given merely in footings of the construction of FDI, sectorial waies and many other factors. For case, economic systems may necessitate to bring forth an initial degree of income in order for FDI to hold a positive impact, every bit good as domestic establishments construction should hold a sufficient degree of development for a state to profit from foreign capital influxs. Most surveies indicate that there is a get downing degree of absorbent capacity of the economic system that should be available to bring forth macroeconomic growing from FDI ( Alfaro et.al.,2004 ; Carkovic and Levin,2002 ; Borensztein et.al.,1998 ) .
Schmidt ( 2008 ) detecting 128 states over the period of 1970 – 1999 has studied FDI – growing relationships and cross-country income convergence, using non-linear growing arrested development theoretical account. The chief consequences show that there is no starting-income threshold for FDI to profit. Indeed, in order to take for hapless states to meet with the rich 1s, the degree of foreign investing should be sufficient. However, among states without sufficient FDI, there is a get downing – income threshold for convergence.
Surveies on the impact of FDI on GDP in the passage economic systems are missing. Lyroudi et.al. ( 2004 ) have examined through empirical observation the relationship and nature of the consequence of FDI on the rate of growing, utilizing panel informations of selected passage economic systems and using Bayesian analysis. Result illustrate that FDI does non exercise any robust influence on growing. This consequence is in conformity with the findings of Carkovic and Levine ( 2002 ) . However, similar survey by Campos and Kinoshita ( 2002 ) has found reverse grounds. Analyzing 25 Central and Eastern European and former Soviet brotherhood states with passage economic systems over the period of 1990-1998, they stated that foreign capital flows to the host state had pure engineering spillover consequence, and therefore, holding a important positive consequence on the economic growing. Furthermore, these findings are besides consistent with Hooley et Al. ( 1996 ) .
In order to analyse the impact of FDI on entire factor productiveness through technological spillover, Sadik and Bolbol ( 2001 ) applied panel informations for the period of 20 old ages for a figure of Middle Eastern states: Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, Oman, Saudi Arabia and Tunisia. Empirical consequences highlight that overall consequence on entire factor productiveness and engineering from FDI is non evidently positive. Furthermore, grounds shows that the consequence of FDI on entire factor productiveness has been lower than domestic investings in some of the states, bespeaking a perchance prevailing negative riddance consequence.
Azman-Saini et.al ( 2010 ) have discussed the impact of FDI on economic growing taking into history the freedom of economic activities in recipient state. Empirical sample included panel informations for 85 states over the period of 1975-2004. The findings show that economic freedom is a important factor and has a positive relationship with economic growing, every bit good as the degree of economic freedom which is highly of import for a state to profit from FDI, for case absorbent capacity of the new engineering. Fedderke and Romm ( 2005 ) examined the consequence of FDI on the economic growing in South Africa every bit good as the determiners of FDI. The long tally relationship between foreign and domestic capital is auxiliary, every bit good as there is a positive spillover consequence on end product. Therefore, the growing impact is positive. Harmonizing to empirical consequences, the chief determiners of FDI in South Africa are net rate of return and hazard profile of FDI liabilities. Investigating the insouciant relationship between FDI and economic growing in Malaysia, Karimi and Yusof ( 2009 ) underlined the indirect consequence of FDI on economic growing, since there was no strong grounds of bi-directional causality and a long – tally relationship between foreign capital flows and economic growing.
2.6 Microeconomic grounds.
The obtained consequences of microeconomic plants are conflicting. Firm – degree empirical surveies have non been able to bring forth consistent grounds for important and positive spillover effects from FDI. While many research workers find that important positive spillovers from foreign direct investing do be, others find none or statistically undistinguished spillovers effects. Grossfeld and Roland ( 1996 ) and Blanchard ( 1997 ) indicated the demand for signifier strategic restructuring in order to vie in market environment for states with emerging economic systems and the presence of transnational corporations might accomplish such restructuring and to better a house ‘s efficiency. In add-on, a subsequently survey by Wallner ( 1998 ) found that foreign companies are welcomed to emerging states to increase hardening of budget restraints, every bit good as Teece ( 1997 ) mentioned engineering transportation diffusion accelerated by local endeavors.
Statistically important positive spillover consequence from the presence of multinationals has been found by many researches. Research workers investigated behaviour of domestic houses and impact on their productiveness in different states, such as surveies by Caves ( 1974 ) on Australian fabrication, Globerman ( 1979 ) on Canadian fabrication, and Blomstrom and Pearson ( 1983 ) on Mexican fabrication industries, recent analyses on Indonesian fabrication industry ( Blomstrom and Sjoholm, 1999 ; Takii, 2001 ) . Positive spillovers from FDI on domestic houses have been besides found by Tong and Hu ( 2003 ) , utilizing the house – degree informations of Chinese states and Kay ( 2007 ) , look intoing impact of FDI on house ‘s public presentation in Czech Republic. Findingss suggest that the impact on the overall public presentation has been doubtless positive with regard to productiveness and growing. Results besides underline the importance of FDI in the catching – up procedure in advancing greater efficiency and industry restructuring. Similar consequences were found by Hoang ( 2009 ) on the instance of empirical surveies related to FDI spillovers in Vietnam, utilizing the panel dataset constructed from the one-year company ‘s studies covering a five-year period from 2000 to 2005. Writers strongly agree that FDI spillovers from foreign houses to local houses in Vietnam are overpoweringly positive in assorted facets and there are multiple channels through which local houses in Vietnam can profit from the presence of foreign houses.
In contrast, there are some documents with grounds of negative effects on the presence of transnational corporations on domestic houses in the sum. The surveies by Aitken and Harrison ( 1999 ) information from Venezuela, Castellani and Zanfei ( 2002b ) – European houses, Djankov and Hoekman ( 2000 ) – Czech Republic, Konings ( 2001 ) – Bulgaria and Romania, Zukowska – Gagelmann ( 2002 ) – Poland, Damijan et Al. ( 2001 ) – Eight CEE states, usage house degree panel informations for fabrication industries. Furthermore, it is of import to observe that foreign houses may take down the productiveness of domestic endeavors through competition effects. Writers debate that MNCs have lower fringy costs due to some house specific advantages, which permit them to pull demand off from domestic companies, coercing them to cut down production and traveling up their ( given ) norm cost curve.
2.7 FDI and trade
Experiences of several East Asiatic states over the past few decennaries indicate that export oriented policies might be a important factor in hiking economic growing. Therefore, the issue on export public presentation of a state is a survey of great worth ( Kokko, 2002 ) .One of the crucially effectual export – advancing elements can be Foreign Direct Investment ( UNCTAD, 2002 ) . Relationship between FDI and exports vary along different theoretical attacks used in literature. Overall decision is that depending on the motivations of foreign influxs and specific initial economic fortunes of a state, consequence on export public presentation can be positive ( complementary ) or negative ( replacement ) . In other words, literature have postulated that when FDI coming into the host state is horizontal, predominating consequence on export public presentation is permutation, whereas empirical grounds on perpendicular FDI emphasized domination of complimentary consequence ( Sapienza, 2009 ) .Various theories of international trade and FDI aimed to explicate possible relationship between foreign capital influxs and exports. Development of both theories took topographic point independently. Nevertheless, recently several researches tried to unite these theories.
Development of trade theories begins from Classical trade theory. During the 16th – 18th centuries harmonizing to the mercantile system, emphasizing that the economic systems should excite exports and minimise imports at the same time, the accretion of fiscal wealth of one state is possible merely by cut downing the wealth of another state where the function of authorities is to keep a positive Balance of Trade. The chief disadvantage of this theory was that development of the state was possible merely through the redistribution of wealth, but non through its augmentation, and in order for the state to derive from trade, another had to lose ( Smith, 1776 ) .
Further account of the advantages of unrestricted trade was brought by neoclassical economic expert, Smith, in his “ Theory of Absolute advantage ” . The theory says that states export goods produced at a lower cost, i.e. production of which gives an absolute advantage, and import those goods production of which is non efficient. Therefore, the trade is good for both states. In this theory, living criteri